Mauricio Ruffy vs. James Llontop Pick, 11/16/2024 Predictions UFC 309 Odds

Mauricio Ruffy vs. James Llontop

UFC309

Madison Square Garden in New York

Saturday November 16, 2024

Mauricio Ruffy will enter the Octagon with James Llontop at UFC 309 on Saturday, November 16, 2024. Ruffy comes in at -850 while Llontop is at +575.

Mauricio Ruffy comes into this fight with a record of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old weighs 155 pounds and measures 6-foot-1. The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75″. James “Goku” Llontop stands at 6-foot-4 and weighs 155 pounds. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his 14-4-0 total. The 25 year old has a reach of 73 inches. As for significant strikes, Mauricio Ruffy connects at 4.88 per minute and James Llontop connects at 5.38 significant strikes per minute he throws, while Llontop connects at 43%. In terms of defending himself, Ruffy allows 3.80 significant strikes per minute, while “Goku” takes 3.97 Ruffy also stops 59% of significant attacks in his direction targeted and Llontop defends against 62% of attacks aimed at him.

UFC309	Mauricio Ruffy	James Llontop
Opening odds	-850	+575
File	10-1-0	14-4-0
Average battle time	9:44	11:31
Height	5’11”	6’0″
Weight	155 pounds	155 pounds
Range	75″	73″
Strokes per minute	4.88	5.38
Remarkable accuracy	59%	43%

In terms of wrestling, Mauricio Ruffy is not a very efficient wrestler, as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.30 times every 15 minutes. Ruffy takes his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his attempts and stops 85% of all his opponent’s takedowns. Llontop takes his opponents to the mat on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarts 54% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to suppressing the opposition, Ruffy is the better fighter going for 0.6 finishes per 3rd while Llontop attempts 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, Mauricio Ruffy took on Jamie Mullarkey and ultimately emerged victorious by a blow to the head in round 1. Mullarkey landed 14 of the total 38 punches he threw in that fight. Ruffy finished the evening with 25 of a total of 40 attacks. In the significant attacks category, Mullarkey ultimately achieved 14 out of 38, giving him a percentage of 36%. Ultimately, he received 7 of the 28 major blows to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Ruffy ended up landing 62% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 25 of 40. Looking at the considerable accuracy, he landed 21 of 35 on the head. 100% of Mullarkey’s significant attacks and 88% of Ruffy’s attacks were delivered from a distance.

In the final fight for James Llontop he took on Viacheslav Borshchev and ultimately took the loss via split decision in round 3. Borshchev ended up landing 95% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Llontop landed 97% of the significant attacks. he tried from a distance. Llontop ultimately connected on 37% of his significant attacks by connecting on 93 of 249. He connected on 40 of 168 significant attacks aimed at the head. Borshchev ultimately landed 96 of 229 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of placement of these key blows, he ultimately connected on 49 of 172 aimed at the head. When discussing the total number of strikes he threw in that fight, Borshchev ultimately landed 97 of 230 and Llontop connected on 97 of 253 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another fight you’ll want to see is when Jonathan Martinez enters the Octagon against Marcus McGhee. Martinez walks into the Octagon with a score of 19-5-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands at 5’8″. The left-handed fighter reaches 70″. McGhee is 6 feet tall and weighs 135 pounds. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 9-1-0. The 34-year-old stretches 69 inches. In terms of wrestling, Jonathan Martinez averages 0.41 takedowns per 3 rounds and Marcus McGhee takes his opponents to the mat 0.84 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Martinez averages 4.54 strikes per minute and connects on 49% of all strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this fight is Marcus McGhee, who lands 51% of his strike attempts and averages 5.43 per minute.

Another fight to watch is when Eryk Anders takes on Chris Weidman. Weidman has a record of 16-7-0. The 40-year-old weighs 185 pounds and measures 6-foot-1. The Orthodox fighter is 2.80 meters tall. Anders is 6 feet tall and weighs 185 pounds. The southpaw fighter will look to add a win to his career total of 16-8-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old has a 75″ wingspan. In terms of wrestling, Chris Weidman stops 65% of the takedowns his opponent attempts and gets his opponent to the mat 42% of the times he tries. Otherwise, he takes down his opponents down on 26% of the attempts he makes and is able to block 79% of his opponents’ takedowns. As for striking, Weidman lands 3.22 punches per minute and he lands 3.18 punches per minute at the same time 4.17 beats per minute and delivers 3.41 per minute.

Who will win tonight’s UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn’s pick: take James Llontop (+575)

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